Migration · Redfin Q1 2026

Everyone's Leaving New York for Orlando —
Here's What It Actually Costs

August 31, 2026 · NeighborSeek

19.1% of house hunters are now looking to relocate out of their metro — a Redfin record. Orlando led all U.S. metros for net inflow. Here's the real math behind the move.

19.1% of house hunters are now looking to move out of their metro entirely — the highest share Redfin has recorded since it started tracking relocation searches in 2021. That's nearly 1 in 5 people shopping for a home who've already decided their current city isn't it.

Two cities anchor the story. Orlando, FL gained more net movers than any other U.S. metro in Q1 2026 — a net inflow of 6,914 Redfin users. New York, NY lost more than anywhere else: a net outflow of 28,351.

19.1%
House hunters looking to relocate (record high)
+6,914
Orlando net inflow (#1 metro, Q1 2026)
−28,351
New York net outflow (#1 loser)
+46,664
Florida net movers (#1 state)

The honest caveat, first

This is search data, not moving-truck data. Redfin's migration numbers measure how many people searching homes on Redfin.com in one metro are viewing listings in another — it's relocation intent, not confirmed moves. It doesn't tell you why someone's looking (taxes, job, weather, family), and a search isn't a signed lease. Treat this as a real, measurable signal of where interest is shifting, not a claim about how many U-Hauls actually crossed state lines.

The state-level version is even more lopsided

Florida was the #1 net-gaining state, pulling in 46,664 net movers — more than the next three most popular destination states combined. California was the #1 net-losing state, down 54,767 — twice the outflow of New York, the second-place loser.

Put another way: the two states doing the most net-losing (California and New York) are two of the three most expensive states to live in. The state doing the most net-gaining (Florida) has no state income tax at all.

The underlying pattern — people leaving expensive, high-tax coastal metros for lower-cost, no-or-low-income-tax metros — shows up across multiple corridors, not just New York to Orlando.
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What the New York → Orlando numbers actually look like

New York's median home price is $794,224. Orlando's is $549,848 — about $244,000 less. New York's state income tax tops out at 10.9% (NYC residents add up to another 3.876% city tax). Florida's is zero.

That gap is the financial engine behind the migration numbers above. It's not the only reason people move, but for a metro-to-metro pair this lopsided in cost, it doesn't need to be a mystery.

Insurance caveat: Florida home insurance has risen sharply due to hurricane risk. Premiums that were $2,000–$3,000/year a few years ago now commonly run $6,000–$12,000+ in some areas. This can offset a meaningful portion of the income tax savings. Get actual quotes for specific neighborhoods before committing — costs vary significantly by location and flood zone.

This isn't just a Florida story

Florida drove the biggest state-level number, but the underlying pattern — people leaving expensive, high-tax coastal metros for lower-cost, no-or-low-income-tax metros — shows up across multiple corridors, not just New York to Orlando. It's the same logic behind Seattle → Phoenix, LA → Las Vegas, and LA → Phoenix, all of which have real, sourced corridor guides on this site.

Source: Redfin, "19% of House Hunters Are Looking to Relocate," Q1 2026 migration report (redfin.com/news/migration-q1-2026/), published June 29, 2026. Corridor pricing from NeighborSeek market data, mid-2026. Income tax rates from NY State Department of Taxation and Finance and Florida Department of Revenue.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does this mean 28,351 people actually moved from New York to Florida?
No — the 28,351 figure is New York's total net outflow to all other metros, not specifically to Orlando or Florida, and it measures relocation search activity on Redfin.com, not completed moves. It's a strong signal of where interest is heading, not a moving-van count.
Why is Florida gaining so much net migration?
Redfin's report doesn't state a cause — it reports the numbers. The most commonly cited financial factor is Florida's 0% state income tax combined with relatively lower home prices than the high-cost metros losing residents, but the data itself doesn't assign motive.
Is this the highest relocation-search share on record?
Yes, based on Redfin's data going back to 2021 — 19.1% of house hunters looked to relocate out of their metro in Q1 2026, up from 18.9% a year earlier and the highest share in that dataset.

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